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2022 British Open odds: Surprising PGA picks, golf predictions from model that nailed the Masters

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Rory McIlroy has cemented his place in history as one of just five Irish players ever to win the Open Championship. The victory was his first of two majors in 2014, but he hasn’t won another since. McIlroy will try to end his major drought when he heads into the 2022 Open Championship at St. Andrews as the 9-1 favorite in the 2022 Open Championship odds at Caesars Sportsbook. Who should you target in the 2022 Open Championship field when the tournament starts Thursday? Before locking in your 2022 Open Championship picks or entering any PGA DFS tournaments on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel, be sure to see the PGA Tour predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven golf model

SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, it’s up over $9,500 on its best bets since that point, nailing tournament after tournament.

McClure’s model included Thomas in its best bets to win the 2022 PGA Championship. That bet hit at +1600, and for the entire tournament, McClure’s best bets returned almost $800. At the 2022 Masters, McClure’s model was all over Scheffler’s first career major championship victory heading into the weekend.

In addition, McClure’s best bets included Collin Morikawa winning outright at the 2021 Open Championship, even though he was a massive 40-1 long shot. The model was also all over Rahm’s (10-1) first career major championship victory at the 2021 U.S. Open. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the weekend, but the model still projected him as the winner. 

This same model has also nailed a whopping eight majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.

Now that the 2022 British Open golf tournament is approaching, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

Top 2022 Open Championship predictions 

One huge shocker the model is calling for at the Open Championship 2022: Collin Morikawa, the defending British Open champion and one of the tournament favorites, stumbles and doesn’t even crack the top five. Morikawa had fifth-place finishes at the U.S. Open and Masters, but he was nowhere to be found on the leaderboard at the PGA Championship, finishing outside the top 50.

Last year’s Open Championship remains Morikawa’s last victory, and while he started this tour season with five straight top-10s, success has been fleeting since then. Over his last 10 tournaments, he has more finishes outside the top 50 (four) than he has inside the top 10 (three). His biggest culprit has been his short game, which has gone from above average to among the tour’s worst. He ranks 180th out of 204 players on tour in strokes gained: around-the-green (-.307), and that weakness could be magnified at a course with over 100 bunkers.

Another surprise: Shane Lowry, a 22-1 long shot, makes a strong run at the title. He’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Lowry is looking for a rebound performance in his next outing after he missed the cut at the U.S. Open.

His disappointing finish at The Country Club appears to be more of an exception than the rule, as he finished 10th in his previous tournament at the RBC Canadian Open and had back-to-back third-place showings at the Masters and RBC Heritage in the spring. While his driving accuracy this season has been just 63.64 percent, Lowry shouldn’t be as negatively affected as others, as the Old Course at St. Andrews features no trees and he has the sixth-best sand save percentage on the tour at 65.57 percent. Lowry won the Open Championship in 2019, and had a respectable 12th-place finish in 2021, so the Irish-born golfer should feel confident when he tees it up again this year. See who else to pick here.

How to make 2022 Open Championship picks

The model is targeting four other golfers with odds of 22-1 or longer who will make surprising runs. Anyone who backs these long shots could hit it big. You can only see the model’s picks here.

So who will win the Open Championship 2022? And which long shots stun the golfing world? Check out the 2022 Open Championship odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2022 Open Championship leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed eight golf majors, including this year’s Masters.

2022 Open Championship odds, field

See full Open Championship 2022 picks, best bets, and predictions here.

Rory McIlroy 9-1

Xander Schauffele 14-1

Jon Rahm 14-1

Scottie Scheffler 16-1

Jordan Spieth 16-1

Matthew Fitzpatrick 18-1

Justin Thomas 18-1

Shane Lowry 22-1

Collin Morikawa 25-1

Will Zalatoris 25-1

Cameron Smith 25-1

Patrick Cantlay 25-1

Dustin Johnson 35-1

Tyrrell Hatton 35-1

Brooks Koepka 35-1

Tommy Fleetwood 35-1

Louis Oosthuizen 40-1

Viktor Hovland 40-1

Hideki Matsuyama 40-1

Sam Burns 40-1

Joaquin Niemann 45-1

Max Homa 50-1

Justin Rose 50-1

Tony Finau 50-1

Tiger Woods 60-1

Bryson DeChambeau 65-1

Ryan Fox 65-1

Sungjae Im 65-1

Corey Conners 80-1

Cameron Young 80-1

Seamus Power 80-1

Robert MacIntyre 80-1

Gary Woodland 80-1

Adam Scott 80-1

Marc Leishman 80-1

Billy Horschel 90-1

Patrick Reed 90-1

Abraham Ancer 90-1

Sergio Garcia 100-1

J.T. Poston 100-1

Paul Casey 100-1

Mito Pereira 100-1

Thomas Pieters 100-1

Lucas Herbert 100-1

Christiaan Bezuidenhout 100-1

Webb Simpson 100-1

Cameron Tringale 100-1

Keegan Bradley 100-1

Harold Varner 100-1

Victor Perez 100-1

Adrian Meronk 125-1

Keith Mitchell 125-1

Aaron Wise 125-1

Haotong Li 125-1

Danny Willett 125-1

Jordan Smith 125-1

Padraig Harrington 125-1

Talor Gooch 125-1

Kurt Kitayama 125-1

Jason Kokrak 150-1

Sebastian Munoz 150-1

Russell Henley 150-1

Joohyung Kim 150-1

Si-Woo Kim 150-1

Brian Harman 150-1

Kevin Na 150-1

Sahith Theegala 150-1

Francesco Molinari 150-1

Kevin Kisner 150-1

Min Woo Lee 150-1

Lee Westwood 150-1

Thomas Detry 175-1

Bernd Wiesberger 175-1

Harris English 175-1

Erik van Rooyen 175-1

Sam Horsfield 175-1

Dean Burmester 175-1

Nicolai Hojgaard 200-1

Chris Kirk 200-1

Justin Harding 200-1

Phil Mickelson 200-1

Mackenzie Hughes 200-1

Pablo Larrazabal 200-1

Luke List 200-1

Stewart Cink 200-1

Tom Hoge 200-1

Ian Poulter 200-1

Dylan Frittelli 200-1

Emiliano Grillo 200-1

Kyoung-Hoon Lee 200-1

Henrik Stenson 200-1

Adri Arnaus 200-1

Richard Bland 250-1

Garrick Higgo 250-1

Guido Migliozzi 250-1

Wyndham Clark 250-1

Laurie Canter 250-1

Alexander Bjork 250-1

Takumi Kanaya 250-1

Matthew Jordan 250-1

Jason Scrivener 250-1

Zach Johnson 250-1

Richard Mansell 250-1

Brandon Wu 300-1

Fabrizio Zanotti 300-1

Thriston Lawrence 300-1

Trey Mullinax 300-1

Sepp Straka 300-1

Jamie Donaldson 300-1

John Catlin 300-1

Marcus Armitage 300-1

Shaun Norris 300-1

Kazuki Higa 400-1

Scott Vincent 400-1

Chan Kim 500-1

Ashley Chesters 500-1

Keita Nakajima 500-1

Yuto Katsuragawa 500-1

Dimitrios Papadatos 500-1

David Law 500-1

Sadom Kaewkanjana 500-1

Ben Campbell 500-1

Sihwan Kim 500-1

Lars Van Meijel 500-1

Shugo Imahira 500-1

Zander Lombard 500-1

Ernie Els 500-1

Brad Kennedy 500-1

Marco Penge 750-1

Mingyu Cho 750-1

Robert Dinwiddie 750-1

Anthony Quayle 750-1

Matthew Griffin 750-1

Minkyu Kim 750-1

Matt Ford 750-1

Aaron Jarvis 1000-1

John Parry 1000-1

Oliver Farr 1000-1

David Carey 1000-1

Paul Lawrie 1000-1

Aldrich Potgieter 1000-1

Jediah Morgan 1000-1

Barclay Brown 1000-1

Ronan Mullarney 1000-1


Jack Floydd 1000-1

Mark Calcavecchia 1000-1

Darren Clarke 1000-1

Filippo Celli 1000-1

David Duval 1000-1

Jorge Fernandez-Valdes 1000-1

John Daly 1000-1

Stephen Dodd 1000-1

Alex Wrigley 1000-1

Sam Bairstow 1000-1

Justin De Los Santos 1000-1

Jamie Rutherford 1000-1

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